
    NEVINNOMYSSKIY AZOT, et al., Plaintiffs, v. UNITED STATES, Defendant, and Agrium US, Inc. & Ad Hoc Committee of Domestic Nitrogen Producers, Defendant-Intervenors.
    Slip Op. 08-64.
    Court No. 06-00013.
    United States Court of International Trade.
    June 9, 2008.
    
      White & Case, LLP, (Jay C. Campbell), (Scott S. Lincicome), Frank H. Morgan, and Walter J. Spak for Plaintiffs.
    (Michael K. Haldenstein), Andrea C. Casson, James M. Lyons, and Neal J. Reynolds, United States International Trade Commission, Office of the General Counsel, for Defendant United States.
    Joel R. Junker & Associates, Seattle, WA (Joel R. Jimker); Akin, Gump, Strauss, Hauer & Feld, LLP, Washington, DC (Valerie A. Slater), Lisa W. Ross, and Margaret C. Marsh for Defendant-Inter-venors.
   OPINION

BARZILAY, Judge.

This case concerns the court’s remand to the U.S. International Trade Commission (the “Commission”) of its second sunset review determination regarding solid urea from Russia and Ukraine. The court affirmed several of the Commission’s specific findings, but remanded to allow the Commission to provide a more reasoned analysis of (1) the impact of third-country barriers on urea exports, (2) the impact of non-subject imports on domestic pricing, and (3) certain conditions of competition in the industry. The Commission issued its remand determination on November 26, 2007. See Remand Determination of the Commission in Nevinnomysskiy Azot v. United States, Court No. 06-00013 (CIT Nov. 26, 2007) (“Remand Determination”). Plaintiffs Nevinnomysskiy Azot, Novomskovsk Azot JSC, JSC MCC Euro-chem, Kuybyshevazot JSC, JSC “Azot” Berezniki, and JSC “Azot” Kemerovo (collectively “Plaintiffs”) challenge .the Commission’s remand determination, arguing that it is unsupported by substantial evidence and not in accordance with law. Agrium US, Inc., and the Ad Hoc Committee of Domestic Nitrogen Producers appear before the court as Defendanh-Inter-venors. The court finds that substantial evidence supports the Commission’s remand determination and thus affirms.

I. Procedural History

In July 1987, after investigating imports of solid urea from the German Democratic Republic (“GDR”), Romania, and the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (“USSR”), the Commission determined that the domestic industry suffered material injury as a result of sales at less than fair value. See Urea From the German Democratic Republic, Romania, and the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics, USITC Pub.1992, Inv. Nos. 731-TA-338-340 (Final) (July 1987) (“Original Determination”). Commerce subsequently issued an antidumping duty (“AD”) order on imports of solid urea from the GDR, Romania, and the USSR. See Antidumping Duty Order; Urea From the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics, 52 Fed.Reg. 26,367 (Dep’t Commerce July 14, 1987); Antidumping Duty Order; Urea From the Socialist Republic of Romania, 52 Fed.Reg. 26,367 (Dep’t Commerce July 14, 1987); Antidumping Duty Order; Urea From the German Democratic Republic, 52 Fed.Reg. 26,366 (Dep’t Commerce July 14, 1987). Following the collapse of the USSR in December 1991, Commerce divided the original AD order into separate orders for each of the fifteen newly independent states. See Solid Urea From the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics; Transfer of the Antidumping Duty Order on Solid Urea From the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics to the Commonwealth of Independent States and the Baltic States and Opportunity to Comment, 57 Fed.Reg. 28,828 (Dep’t Commerce June 29,1992).

In March 1999, the Commission instituted its first sunset reviews of the remaining orders on solid urea pursuant to section 751(c) of the Tariff Act of 1930, as amended, 19 U.S.C. § 1675(c). See Solid Urea From Romania, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Estonia, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Latvia, Lithuania, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, and Uzbekistan, 64 Fed.Reg. 10,-020 (ITC Mar. 1, 1999). Ultimately, the Commission determined that revocation of any AD order on solid urea imports, except the one pertaining to Armenia, would likely lead to a continuation or recurrence of material injury to the domestic industry within a reasonably foreseeable time. See Solid Urea From Armenia, Belarus, Estonia, Lithuania, Romania^ Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, and Uzbekistan, 64 Fed.Reg. 60,225 (ITC Nov. 4, 1999). Accordingly, Commerce revoked the AD order on Armenia but left the others in effect for an additional five years. See Revocation of Antidumping Duty Or der: Solid Urea from Armenia, 64 Fed. Reg. 62,654 (Dep’t Commerce Nov. 17, 1999); Continuation of Antidumping Duty Orders: Solid Urea From Belarus, Estonia, Lithuania, Romania, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, and Uzbekistan, 64 Fed.Reg. 62,653 (Dep’t Commerce Nov. 17,1999).

Five years later, the Commission instituted its second sunset reviews of the AD orders. See § 1675(c); Solid Urea From Belarus, Estonia, Lithuania, Romania, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, and Uzbekistan, 69 Fed.Reg. 58,-957 (ITC Oct. 1, 2004). Because the domestic interested parties chose not to participate in the reviews, Commerce revoked all of the AD orders except those covering Russia and Ukraine. § 1675(c)(3)(A); Solid Urea from Belarus, Estonia, Lithuania, Romania, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan: Final Results and Revocation of Orders, 69 Fed.Reg. 77,993 (Dep’t Commerce Dec. 29, 2004).

The Commission issued the final determinations in its second sunset reviews of the Russian and Ukranian AD orders on December 16, 2005. See Solid Urea From Russia and Ukraine, 70 Fed.Reg. 74,846 (ITC Dec. 16, 2005). By a three-to-three vote, the Commission determined that revocation of the AD orders on solid urea from Russia and Ukraine would likely lead to material injury of the domestic industry within a reasonably foreseeable time. Id. Therefore, Commerce left the AD orders on Russian and Ukranian urea in effect. See Notice of Continuation of Antidump-ing Duty Orders: Solid Urea from the Russian Federation and Ukraine, 71 Fed. Reg. 581 (Dep’t Commerce Jan. 5, 2006).

Plaintiffs subsequently appealed the Commission’s affirmative determination. See Nevinnomysskiy Azot v. United States, Slip Op. 07-130, 2007 WL 2563571 (Aug. 28, 2007) (not reported in F. Supp.) (“Azot I ”). In Azot I, the court affirmed the Commission’s findings that: (1) there was a reasonable amount of competition between granular and prilled urea; (2) the United States is an attractive market for subject producers because its urea prices are relatively higher than those in other markets; (3) the subject industries have the ability and incentive to divert their exports to the United States; and, (4) the global supply of solid urea will expand into a surplus in the reasonably foreseeable future. See id. at *7, 10-12. Finding that the Commission’s determination was “devoid of the legally required explanation to support its finding,” the court remanded the case so that the Commission would: (1) address “whether the likely volume of subject imports would prove significant if the [AD] orders in question are revoked”; (2) address the “likely price effects of subject imports in light of the already substantial presence of low-cost non-subject imports in the domestic market”; and (3) “reassess the likely impact of subject imports on the domestic industry to account for the difference between the first sunset reviews’ findings and the findings of the current reviews within the context of the domestic industry’s recent improved performance.” Id. at *16.

The Commission issued its remand determination in November 2007, concluding that “the domestic industry is vulnerable to the likely adverse impact of the subject imports upon revocation.” Remand Determination at 26. In addition, because the Commission also found that “subject imports are likely to enter the market in significant volumes and at prices that will have a significant adverse impact on the industry’s prices,” it determined that “revocation of the orders would result in the entry of significant quantities of low-priced subject imports into the U.S. market and that these imports would likely lead to material injury in the industry.” Id. Plaintiffs now appeal.

II. Statutory Background

Every five years following the initial publication of an AD order, Commerce and the Commission must conduct a sunset review. See § 1675(c). Following review, Commerce must revoke the order unless the Commission determines that material injury to the domestic industry would likely continue or recur. See § 1675(d)(2). To make a proper determination, the Commission must “consider the likely volume, price effect, and impact of imports of the subject merchandise on the [domestic] industry if the order is revoked.” 19 U.S.C. § 1675a(a)(1). In addition, the Commission must take into account its prior injury determinations, any improvements in the state of the industry, vulnerability of the industry to material injury, and Commerce’s duty absorption findings. See id.

The Commission must weigh numerous additional considerations to properly make its determination. See § 1675a(a)(l)-(4). To evaluate whether the likely volume of subject imports would be significant, the Commission must consider all relevant economic factors, such as production capacity, inventories, third-country trade barriers, and manufacturing facilities’ potential for product-shifting. See § 1675a(a)(2). In determining the likely price effects of subject imports, the Commission considers whether significant price underselling is likely and whether import prices would significantly depress or suppress domestic prices. See § 1675a(a)(3). Finally, to evaluate the impact of subject imports, the Commission considers “all relevant economic factors which are likely to have a bearing on the state of the [domestic] industry.” § 1675a(a)(4).

Although the Commission must weigh all of the aforementioned considerations during the course of its determination, “no one factor is necessarily dispositive.” Azot I, 2007 WL 2563571, at *4. Moreover, the presence or absence of any factor “shall not necessarily give decisive guidance with respect to the Commission’s determination of whether material injury is likely to continue or recur within a reasonably foreseeable time 1675a(a)(5).

III. Jurisdiction & Standard of Review

This Court has “exclusive jurisdiction” over actions contesting a Commission sunset review determination, 28 U.S.C. § 1581(c); see 19 U.S.C. § 1516a. The Commission assesses the “likely effect of revocation of the antidumping order on the behavior of the importers” based on “currently available evidence and on logical assumptions and extrapolations flowing from that evidence.” Matsushita Elec. Indus. Co., Ltd. v. United States, 750 F.2d 927, 933 (Fed.Cir.1984). The court will uphold the Commission’s determination unless it is “unsupported by substantial evidence on the record, or otherwise not in accordance with the law.” § 1516a(b)(l)(B)(i). Substantial evidence is “more than a mere scintilla. It means such relevant evidence as a reasonable mind might accept as adequate to support a conclusion.” Consol. Edison Co. of N.Y. v. NLRB, 305 U.S. 197, 229, 59 S.Ct. 206, 83 L.Ed. 126 (1938). Crucially, “the possibility of drawing two inconsistent conclusions from the evidence does not prevent an administrative agency’s finding from being supported by substantial evidence.” Consolo v. Fed. Mar. Comm’n, 383 U.S. 607, 620, 86 S.Ct. 1018, 16 L.Ed.2d 131 (1966). Because the Commission acts as the expert factfinder, the court will not “displace [an agency’s] choice between two fairly conflicting views, even though the court would justifiably have made a different choice had the matter been before it de novo. Universal Camera Corp. v. NLRB, 340 U.S. 474, 488, 71 S.Ct. 456, 95 L.Ed. 456 (1951); see Nippon Steel Corp. v. United States, 458 F.3d 1345, 1359 (Fed.Cir.2006).

IY. Discussion

A. Effect of Third-Country Barriers on the Likely Volume of Subject Imports

In challenging the Remand Determination, Plaintiffs argue that the Commission’s likely volume finding is not supported by substantial evidence because the Commission erred in its cumulation of the subject imports from Russia and Ukraine and in its analysis of the Chinese urea embargo. Pis.’ Resp. Br. 3, 6.

Pursuant to court remand, the Commission re-examined the record to determine whether existing third-country barriers were likely to encourage shifting of subject imports to the U.S. market. See Remand Determination at 7. The Commission found that the European Union (“EU”) order on Russian urea and the Mexican order on Ukranian urea, are “unlikely to cause a significant shift of subject imports away from those markets to the United States.” Id. at 7. Specifically, in evaluating the EU’s 1995 AD order on Russian urea, the Commission noted that despite an initial diversion of subject merchandise to other markets, exports of Russian urea to the EU have increased rapidly in recent years due to strengthening European prices. See id. at 7-8; Staff Report to the Commission on Investigation Nos. 731-TA-3I0-E and H (Second Review): Solid Urea from Russia and Ukraine, CR 134 at IV-10. Although the order would once again restrict Russian exports if prices fell below the set minimum, the Commission noted that prices “would have to fall considerably in the EU for Russian urea again to be hindered by the minimum pricing provision of the measure.” Remand Determination at 8 (emphasis added). The Commission therefore found that the order “has not caused the subject Russian producers to shift significant volumes of urea away from the EU market and that it is unlikely to do so in the reasonably foreseeable future.” Id. at 8. Similarly, based on a[[ ]] metric ton increase in imports of subject merchandise to Mexico between 2003 and 2004, the Commission concluded that the “Mexican order has not caused the Ukranian producers to shift significant volumes of urea away from the Mexican market [since the imposition of the AD order in 2003]” and is not likely do so in the reasonably foreseeable future. Id. at 8; see Ad Hoc Committee Pre-Hearing Brief to the [Commission], CR 113 Ex. 2 at 22.

In contrast, the Commission found that the Chinese restriction on urea and the EU order on Ukranian urea “are likely to continue diverting shipments of subject urea to other markets, such as the United States, in the reasonably foreseeable future.” Remand Determination at 7. The Commission cited record evidence that China was the largest export market for both Russian and Ukranian urea before it imposed a “virtual embargo” on urea imports in 1998. Id. at 8; see CR 134 at IV-10, IV-12. As a result, exporters “shift[ed] significant volumes of urea away from the Chinese market to other export markets,” causing Russian and Ukranian urea imports to drop from over 4 million metric tons in 1996 to 5,000 metric tons in 1999. Remand Determination at 9; CR 113 Ex. 2 at 9, 22. Given the export pattern data, the Commission inferred that the loss of China as an export market “was a significant factor in the substantial and rapid growth of exports of Russian and Ukrani-an urea to such markets as the EU and Latin America....” Remand Determination at 9. Accordingly, the Commission concluded that the Chinese embargo would likely continue shifting urea exports towards other markets within the reasonably foreseeable future. Id. Likewise, the Commission also found that the EU order on Ukranian urea caused producers to shift significant volumes of urea to other markets. Id. After the EU imposed its AD order on Ukranian urea in 2002, imports dropped [¶] ]] percent between 2001 and 2004 to [¶] ]] metric tons. Confidential Remand Determination at 10. During that same period, Ukranian exports to Latin America grew from [¶] ]] metric tons in 2001 to [¶] ]] metric tons in 2004 — approximately [¶] ]] percent. CR 113 Ex. 2 at 22. As a result of these trends, the Commission found that the EU order on Ukranian urea “caused the Ukranian producers to shift their urea shipments away from the EU and to other markets, such as Latin America” and that it would likely continue to do so within the reasonably foreseeable future. Remand Determination at 10.

Based on its analysis of third-country barriers, its affirmative findings on the foreign industry’s excess capacity levels, the large size and export-oriented nature of the subject producers, the attractiveness of the U.S. market, and the likelihood of global oversupply, the Commission ultimately determined that the likely volume of subject imports would be significant if the AD orders were revoked. Remand Determination at 10-12; Azot I, 2007 WL 2563571, at *10-12.

1. Cumulation of Subject Imports

Plaintiffs seek a remand of the Commission’s cumulation decision, arguing that the Commission failed to consider whether cumulation of the subject imports remained appropriate in light of its more rigorous analysis of third-country barriers. Pis.’ Resp. Br. 3-6. Pursuant to § 1675a(a)(7), the Commission “may cumulatively assess the volume and effect of imports of the subject merchandise from all countries [whose sunset reviews] were initiated on the same day, if such imports would be likely to compete with each other and with domestic like products in the Unites States market.” § 1675a(a)(7). However, the Commission will not cumulatively assess the volume and effects of the subject imports where it “determines that such imports are likely to have no discernible adverse impact on the domestic industry.” Id. To determine whether imports are likely to have a discernible adverse impact if the AD orders were revoked, the Commission considers the likely volume of the subject imports, as well as their impact on the domestic industry, within a reasonably foreseeable time. See CR 139 at 8.

On remand, noting that Plaintiffs did not challenge its decision to cumulate the subject imports for the sunset analysis, the Commission explicitly adopted its prior views on cumulation. See Remand Determination at 5. In its second sunset determination, the Commission exercised its discretion and cumulated the likely volume and price effects of subject imports from Russia and Ukraine because it found: (a) that the subject imports would have a discernible adverse impact on the domestic industry if the orders were revoked; (b) a likely reasonable overlap of the competition between the subject imports and the domestic like product if the orders were revoked; and (c) no significant differences in the conditions of competition for subject imports from Russia and Ukraine. CR 139 at 9.

Plaintiffs contend that decumulation is warranted because the Commission changed its finding on the likely effects of the EU order on Russian urea. Pis.’ Resp. Br. 4-5. The record evidence, however, indicates otherwise. See CR 139 at 20-21; Remand Determination at 7-8. In its original determination, the Commission evaluated the EU orders on Russian and Ukranian urea and found that “only the measures on imports from Ukraine have a restraining effect, leading to a decline of exports from Ukraine to the [EU] of almost 90 percent from 2003-2004 while Russian exports to the European Union increased rapidly.” CR 139 at 20-21 (emphasis added). On remand, the Commission similarly found that “imports of urea from Russia into the EU have grown rapidly since 2000,” and that the EU order on Russian urea “has not caused subject Russian producers to shift volumes of urea away from the EU market....” Remand Determination at 7-8. As the Commission’s original conclusions are consistent with its later determination on the likely effects of the EU order on Russian urea, the court holds that decumulation is not warranted.

Plaintiffs also claim that the Commission should have decumulated the subject imports because the effects of the EU orders on Russian and Ukranian urea result in competition differences within the U.S. market. Pis.’ Resp. Br. 4; see § 1675a(a)(7). To support their argument, Plaintiffs cite a determination in which the existence of different third-country measures was one factor which led the Commission to find that subject imports are likely to compete differently in the U.S. market. Pis.’ Resp. Br. 4 (citing Stainless Steel Wire Rod from Brazil, France, India, and Spain, Inv. Nos. 701-TA-178 and 731-TA-636-638 (Review), Pub. No. 3321 (July 2000) at 14 (“SSWR ”)). In SSWR, the Commission found “significantly different conditions of competition for French [stainless steel wire rod] relative to imports from Brazil and India,” and accordingly, elected not to cumulate Brazilian and Indian imports with those from France. SSWR at 14. Although the Commission considered third-country measures during its competition analysis, it also evaluated numerous other factors that contributed to the Commission’s decision, such as length of time and consistency of presence in the U.S. market, ability to maintain a presence in the U.S. market in spite of an antidumping order, ability to sell through U.S. subsidiaries, and average unit values. Id. The number of elements considered by the Commission in SSWR stands in sharp contrast to the present case, where Plaintiffs base their remand request on a single factor, ie., different third-country measures. That the record in this case contains evidence of one factor among many does not necessitate a remand of the cumulation decision.

Moreover, that the Commission found a likelihood of a reasonable overlap of competition in spite of the differing effects of the EU orders indicates there is little support for Plaintiffs’ claim of competition differences. See CR 139 at 11-13, 20-21. Following agency practice, the Commission duly addressed each of the four factors used in its competition analysis. See id. at 8 n. 45. First, the Commission found that subject imports and domestic like product are “sufficiently fungible for there be a reasonable overlap of competition” because some of the subject imports would be used as fertilizer and because one-quarter of domestic production is prilled urea. Id. at 12. The remaining three factors, ie., geographic overlap, channels of distribution, and simultaneous presence, were difficult to evaluate because the subject merchandise has been absent from the U.S. market since 1987. Id. Nevertheless, the Commission found a reasonable overlap of competition based on record evidence that: (a) international trading companies would likely sell solid urea from the subject countries to U.S. importers if the orders were revoked, (b) domestic and imported urea were “directed to the same customers and were frequently commingled in wholesalers’ warehouses,” and (c) “urea from both subject countries is marketed by the same international trading companies.” Id. at 12-13. The Commission also took other factors into consideration, including the subject industries’ export oriented nature, similar export markets, and high rates of capacity utilization. Id. In light of the evidence cited by the Commission, the court finds that substantial evidence supports the decision to cumulate the subject imports.

2. Likely Volume of Subject Imports

Plaintiffs also challenge the affirmative volume determination by arguing that the Commission erred in its analysis of the Chinese urea embargo. Pis.’ Resp. Br. 6-7. Specifically, Plaintiffs contend that record evidence of operation at almost [¶] ]] capacity shows that the Russian and Ukranian industries had adjusted to the effects of the Chinese urea embargo and would be unlikely to shift exports into the United States Pis.’ Resp. Br. 7. In its Remand Determination, the Commission found that “China’s decision to restrict urea imports is likely to continue causing the subject producers to ship their production to other markets within the reasonably foreseeable future.” Remand Determination at 9 (emphasis added). The plain meaning of the language demonstrates the Commission did not conclude that the Chinese measure would encourage subject producers to shift exports to the United States. Rather, the Commission found that subject producers will ship to other markets because they are unlikely to gain access to the Chinese market in the foreseeable future. See Remand Determination at 9. That the data implies subject producers have been able to adapt to the closing of China as an export market does not preclude the Commission from concluding that subject producers must search for export markets other than China. Indeed, the Commission’s conclusion is supported by evidence that the Chinese embargo was a “significant factor in the substantial and rapid growth” of exports to the EU and Latin America, and that the “subject industries have the ability to divert rapidly a significant volume of their exports from foreign markets to the domestic market if Commerce revokes the orders.” Id. at 9; see CR 113 Ex. 2, at 8-10, 21-22; Azot /, 2007 WL 2563571, at *10 n. 15. Thus, because the Commission’s conclusion is consistent with the data and is supported by the record, the court finds that the Commission properly cumulated the subject imports and properly evaluated the effects of the Chinese urea embargo.

B. Likely Price Effects

Finding that the Commission faded to explain why subject imports would likely depress U.S. urea prices when non-subject imports have not affected domestic prices, the court ordered the Commission to explain “why the elimination of the subject imports would benefit the domestic industry instead of resulting in the non-subject imports’ replacement of the subject imports’ market share without any beneficial impact on domestic producers.” Azot I, 2007 WL 2563571, at * 14-15. On remand, the Commission considered the record evidence and ultimately concluded that the “subject imports are likely to enter the United States and have significant adverse effects on domestic prices if the orders are revoked.” Remand Determination at 14. The Commission offered the following reasons for its finding: (1) “fundamental economics” predicts that significant volumes of low-priced Russian and Ukranian urea would likely place additional pricing pressure on all domestic and non-subject suppliers currently in the market; (2) the subject imports are likely to significantly undersell both the domestic like product and non-subject imports; (3) the record does not establish that the non-subject imports were significantly lower-priced than the domestic like product during the period of review; and (4) the lack of observable price effects from the non-subject imports is due, in part, to domestic producers importing a significant share of non-subject imports into the United States. See id. at 14-16.

1. Fundamental Economic Principles

Plaintiffs challenge the Commission’s reliance on “fundamental economic principles,” arguing that non-subject imports are likely to exit the U.S. market swiftly in the face of additional competition, rather than continuing to enter at a constant rate. Pis.’ Resp. Br. 8-9. This argument, however, mischaracterizes the record evidence. Although the record indicates that non-subject imports have the ability to leave the United States and seek alternative markets, it does not show that they are likely to leave. Furthermore, even if non-subject imports were likely to leave the United States market, their exit does not preclude the subject merchandise from exerting downward pressure on domestic prices. Because the Commission “has the discretion to make reasonable interpretations of the evidence and to determine the overall significance of any particular factor in its analysis,” the court finds that the Commission’s finding is consistent with the record evidence. Goss Graphic Sys., Inc. v. United States, 22 CIT 983, 1004, 33 F.Supp.2d 1082, 1100 (1998) (citing Me. Potato Council v. United States, 9 CIT 293, 300, 613 F.Supp. 1237, 1244 (1985)).

2. Freight Costs

Plaintiffs also .argue that in finding a likelihood of aggressive underselling, the Commission unreasonably relied on price comparisons that did not account for variations in freight costs. Pis.’ Resp. Br. 9-11. The Commission found that “the record evidence, viewed as a whole, indicates that the subject imports are likely to significantly undersell both the domestic like product and non-subject imports.” Remand Determination at 14 (footnote omitted); see Azot I, 2007 WL 2563571, at *13. According to the [¶] ]] September 2005 study, there was a $28 to $45 per ton price differential between bulk prilled urea sold on a free on board (“f.o.b.”) basis at Black Sea and Middle Eastern ports.. See Remand Determination at 15; see also Ad Hoc Committee Oct. 26, 2005 Submission of Additional Information to the [Commission], CR 132 Attach. 1 at 9; CR 113 Ex. 22. ■ The same study also showed that in 2004, prices for Russian and Ukranian urea were lower than urea from non-subject countries when entering third-country markets like Brazil, Canada, and Columbia. Remand Determination at 15 & n. 52; see CR 113 Ex. 27.

According to Plaintiffs, the f.o.b. prices “had no probative value for assessing the delivered transaction price” because “when the difference in the freight rates [to Asia] is accounted for, there is [¶] ]] between the [Black Sea] price and the Middle East price for prilled urea.” Pis.’ Confidential Resp. Br. 10 (second bracket in original). The court finds this argument unavailing for several reasons. First, as the Commission noted, Plaintiffs do not cite any evidence “supporting their assertion that freight costs from the Black Sea to Asian markets are consistently and significantly higher than the costs for shipment from Middle Eastern ports.... ” Remand Determination at 15 n. 52 (emphasis added). Second, Plaintiffs’ claim ignores record evidence that [¶] ]]. See CR 113 Ex. 2 at 23. Third, Plaintiffs fail to acknowledge that pricing merchandise to compensate for expenses incurred in a[[ ]] percentage of their exports grants them an advantage vis-a-vis other producers when shipping to markets where there is little or no freight disadvantage. See CR 113 Ex. 7 at 2. Although Russia and Ukraine have a[[]], these two markets constitute less than [¶] ]] percent of total Russian and Ukranian exports in 2004. See CR 113 Ex. 2 at 9-10, 22. In contrast, there is no evidence that subject producers experience the same sort of freight cost disadvantages in Latin America, a market that purchases [¶] ]] percent of Russian urea exports and [¶] ]] percent of Ukranian urea exports. See CR 113 Ex. 2 at 9-10, 22. Rather, the record shows- “consistent pricing differentials between the subject merchandise and other countries’ exports” to Canada, Colombia and Brazil, markets which “reflect freight and transport charges at comparable levels.” Remand Determination at 15 n. 52; CR 113 Ex. 27. Fourth, the court agrees with the Commission that “if the subject producers are pricing their products at lower prices to offset transportation costs to Asian markets, this indicates that they are willing to compete aggressively on price to compete with other suppliers in export markets.” Remand Determination at 15 n. 52.

Given that freight differentials to [¶] ]] export markets do not explain a low f.o.b. price for urea that subject producers ship predominantly to markets other than Asia and Oceania, and given that “the Commission, as the trier of fact, has considerable discretion in weighing the probative value and relevance of evidence,” the court finds that the Commission reasonably relied on Black Sea f.o.b. prices as an indication that subject imports were likely to undersell both domestic and non-subject urea. Mukand Ltd., 20 CIT at 906, 937 F.Supp. at 914.

3. The Commission’s Reliance on Average Unit Values

Plaintiffs contend that the Commission unreasonably relied on average unit value information that was flawed and of limited probative value. Pis.’ Resp. Br. 11-13. The court does not agree. The Commission is well aware of the potential pitfalls posed by average unit values and determines whether it may reasonably use the average unit value data for its likely price determination on a case by case basis. Indeed, the Commission has stated that it “views [average unit values] with caution when comparing prices of the domestic like product and subject imports” because “the product mix in the two groups may differ” and “[average unit values] may not reflect an accurate price comparison for a particular product.” Greenhouse Tomatoes from Canada, USITC Pub. 3424, Inv. No. 731-TA-925 (Preliminary), at 9 n. 57 (May 2001) (“Greenhouse Tomatoes”). Accordingly, where there are differences in product mix or average unit values represent a wide variety of transactions for many locations by several importers, the Commission does not utilize average unit values as an indicator of price comparisons. See Urea Ammonium Nitrate Solutions From Belarus, Russia, and Ukraine, USITC Pub. 3591, Inv. Nos. 731-TA-1006, 1008, and 1009 (Final), at 18 n. 106 (Apr.2003); Oleoresin Paprika From India, USITC Pub. 3415, Inv. No. 731-TA-923 (Preliminary), at 11 n. 63 (Apr.2001). Where product mix is not an issue, the Commission finds that average unit values reflect differences in average price. See Hot-Rolled Steel Products From Argentina, China, India, Indonesia, Kazakhstan, Romania, South Africa, Taiwan, Thailand, and Ukraine, USITC Pub. 3956, Inv. Nos. 701-TA-404-408 & 731-TA-898-902 & 904-908 (Review), at 37 & n. 209 (Oct.2007); Silicon Metal From Russia, USITC Pub. 3910, Inv. No. 731-TA-991 (Final) (Second Remand), at 13 n. 69 (Mar.2007); Certain Polyester Staple Fiber From China, USITC Pub. 3922, Inv. Nos. 731-TA-1104 (Final), at 17, 32-33 & n. 210 (June 2007); Greenhouse Tomatoes at 9 n. 57.

In this case, Plaintiffs provided no record evidence to support their claim that “in this context, average unit values can mask differences in product mix, making it impossible to conduct an apples-to-apples comparison.” Pis.’ Resp. Br. 11. Furthermore, the Commission found that prices for both forms of urea, i.e., prilled and granular, are similar and that the two forms are moderately substitutable. See CR 139 at 16, 22.

The court is not persuaded by Plaintiffs’s claim that the Commission misunderstood the data comparing f.o.b. prices for shipments of non-subject and subject urea to Canada and Brazil. Pis.’ Resp. Br. 12. The Commission explicitly noted that imports into Brazil and Canada were priced on an f.o.b. basis, while Colombian prices were on a e.i.f. (i.e., cost, insurance, and freight) basis. Remand Determination at 15 n. 52. Moreover, that the Commission stated the prices “reflect freight and transportation charges at comparable levels” does not suggest that the data included the same types of freight, but rather, that the pricing data for each particular country is reported on the same basis. Id.

Although Plaintiffs also seek to discredit the Brazilian, Canadian, and Colombian price comparisons because the differences in all but five of the twenty-one comparisons is below $20 per ton, Pis.’ Resp. Br. 13, the record is replete with evidence that price differences of this magnitude are significant. See CR 139 at 22-23 (stating that “price is an important consideration in purchasing decisions and the record indicates that consumers will consider switching to prilled urea for use as a fertilizer given a sufficient discount.”); [¶] ]] Questionnaire Response to the [Commission], CR 28 at 11[[ ]]; [¶] ]] Questionnaire Response to the [Commission], CR 68 at 11[[ ]]; [¶] ]] Questionnaire Response to the [Commission], CR 46 at 11[[ ]].

Because it is within the Commission’s discretion “to assess the probative nature of the evidence obtained in its investigation and to determine whether to discount the evidence or to rely on it,” the court holds that the Commission reasonably relied on the average unit value data to analyze the likely price effects of the subject imports. See Goss Graphic Sys., Inc., 22 CIT at 1002, 33 F.Supp.2d at 1099.

4. Effect of Non-subject Imports on Domestic Urea Prices

On remand the Commission found the record did not reflect that “non-subject imports were significantly lower-priced than the domestic like product during the period of review....” Remand Determination at 16. Using its own pricing data as well as prices reported in the industry publication Green Markets, the Commission compared the prices of both types of urea at the Gulf Coast during the period of review. Id. While non-subject prices were “somewhat lower” than domestic prices at the Gulf Coast, “the pricing differential was small.” Id. The Commission then attributed this small and insignificant price differential to the fact that domestic producers import a “large and significant” share of non-subject imports into the United States market. Id. Therefore,

[g]iven that domestic producers imported a large share of the non-subject imports into the U.S. market at the end of the period of review, it is hardly surprising that the non-subject imports were priced at levels that did not adversely affect domestic pricing during the period of review.

Id.

Referring to data showing that domestic producers imported [¶] ]], or [¶] ]] percent, of the [¶] ]] short tons of urea shipped into the United States in 2004, Plaintiffs claim that the Commission’s finding cannot be sustained because it relied on inaccurate data regarding the percentage of imports attributable to domestic producers. Pis.’ Confidential Resp. Br. 14 (citing CR 134 at 1-40, Table 1-6 & App. C Table C-2). The court, however, will not be persuaded by Plaintiffs’ attempts to discredit information contained in its own submission, which stated that “[i]n 2004 domestic producers accounted for over [¶] ]] of reported urea imports.” Pis. Remand Proceeding Comments, CR 145R at 10 (emphasis added); Remand Determination at 16; CR 134 at 1-42, Table I-7. Because “[t]his Court lacks authority to interfere with the Commission’s discretion as trier of fact to interpret reasonably evidence collected in the investigation,” and because the Commission reasonably interpreted the data reported by U.S. importers, the court finds that substantial evidence supports the Commission’s finding. Acciai Speciali Terni S.p.A. v. United States, 28 CIT 2013, 2030, 350 F.Supp.2d 1254, 1269 (2004).

5. Average Unit Values of FSU Imports

As a corollary to the adverse effect finding, the Commission noted that imports from former Soviet Union (“FSU”) countries were priced lower than domestic urea after revocation of the AD orders. Remand Determination at 16 n. 56. Accordingly, the Commission concluded that “[t]he behavior of the trading companies in selling this prilled urea from Black Sea ports is indicative of the manner in which the subject urea would be sold if the orders were revoked because it is most comparable to solid urea from Russia and Ukraine.” Id. at 16-17 n. 56. Plaintiffs contend that because “average unit values suffer from many shortcomings that render them unreliable indicators of price,” the Commission unreasonably found that average unit values of FSU imports are indicative of likely subject import prices. Pis.’ Resp. Br. 15. As discussed earlier, so long as there are no issues of product mix, the Commission is well within its discretion to reasonably rely on average unit values when making its determination. See Goss Graphic Sys., Inc., 22 CIT at 1002, 33 F.Supp.2d at 1099. Therefore, this argument fails.

According to Plaintiffs, the record contained information showing that the “actual U.S. market transaction price of FSU urea ... [was] the same as U.S. producer’s price” in September 2005. Pis.’ Resp. Br. 15. However, Plaintiffs misconstrue the data. In its entirety, the record states that the “[ijmported product has sold at $305 [per short] ton Tampa, while PCS is at $305 [per short] ton Augusta.” Pis.’ Confidential Resp. Br. Attach. 13. The plain meaning of the language shows that the price quote does not specify the origin of the imported urea. Moreover, it is unclear whether this particular data represents an apples-to-apples comparison,, as the evidence provides neither an f.o.b. price nor any indication of freight costs needed to ship the imports to Tampa or Augusta. Pis.’ Resp. Br. Attach. 13. Even if the import and PCS prices were appropriate for comparison, other evidence in the record contradicts Plaintiffs’ claim. For example, the [¶] ]] study shows that the price of FSU urea during 2005 was [¶] ]] than urea from the Middle East, the United States, and the Carribean. CR 132 Attach. 1 at 104. Indeed, FSU urea undersold the domestic product by an average of [¶] ]] percent. See CR 113 at 47 & Ex. 23. Given the unclear nature of the prices cited by Plaintiffs, the Commission reasonably relied on the other record evidence in concluding that FSU urea was priced lower than domestic urea.

C. Likely Impact on the Domestic Industry

Upon review of the Commission’s second sunset determination, the court held that the Commission failed to explain how it could find that high natural gas prices have weakéned the domestic industry despite record evidence of increased profits and rising domestic urea prices. See Azot I, 2007 WL 2563571, at *15. In addition, because the court found that the data on sales, production, market share, production capacity, and capacity utilization revealed no particular trend, the Commission could not reasonably conclude that the industry would be vulnerable to material injury. See id. at *16. On remand, the court instructed the Commission to “reassess the likely impact of subject imports on the domestic industry to account for the difference between the first sunset reviews’ findings and the findings of the current review within the context of the domestic industry’s recent improved performance.” Id. at *16.

Following its reexamination of the record, the Commission found that the “industry is vulnerable to the likely adverse impact of the subject imports upon revocation of the orders.” Remand Determination at 18. Although various indicators of the industry’s condition showed fluctuation and improvement during the period of review, the Commission also found that “the industry experienced serious declines in other indicia of its condition over the period of review.” Remand Determination at 19. Specifically, the industry lost 15.6 percent of its market share over the period of review, “falling from a majority position of 51.5 percent in 1999 to a minority position of 36.0 percent in 2004.” Id. Between 2001 and 2004, industry capacity also declined significantly, falling 12 percent to 4.8 million tons. Id. Between 1999 and 2004, capacity utilization declined from 92.2 percent to 78.8 percent. Id. Other industry indicators show similar declines: shipment quantities fell by 19.8 percent during the period of review, workforce employment fell by 29.2 percent, hours worked fell by 30.5 percent and total wages fell by 13.3 percent. Id. (citing CR 134 at 1-7, Table 1-1 & App. C. Table C-1). The Commission noted that the domestic industry “was suffering further cutbacks in its production and capacity levels” as a result of natural gas supply shortages, spikes in natural gas pricing, plant closures, and inadequate demand. Id. at 20; see CR 134 at III — 4—III—5. The Commission also acknowledged that “although the industry’s average unit prices and sales revenues increased considerably over the period of review, these increases were offset to some degree by considerable, but smaller, increases in the industry’s cost of goods sold, and selling, general and administrative expenses.” Remand Determination at 20; see CR 134 at 1-7, Table 1-1. Based on the record evidence, the Commission determined that “the industry’s position in the market has weakened to such an extent that it is vulnerable to the likely impact of the subject imports upon revocation.” Remand Determination at 20.

Plaintiffs argue that the Commission should make its impact determination based solely on the conditions of currently operating domestic producers rather than on data that includes inefficient producers which have exited the business. Pis.’ Resp. Br. 16-17. According to Plaintiffs, the inclusion of data from Mississippi Chemical Corp. and Terra Industries (which had exited the industry by 2005), to evaluate the “vulnerability or likely impact to the remaining producers distorts the actual performance of the industry, making it look [¶] ]] than it actually was.” Pis.’ Confidential Resp. Br. 18. The court does not agree.

To determine the likelihood of continuation or recurrence of material injury, the Commission must evaluate “whether the industry is vulnerable to material injury if the order is revoked or the suspension agreement is terminated.” 19 U.S.C. § 1675a(a)(l)(C) (emphasis added). That the term “industry” means “producers as a whole of a domestic like product” indicates that the Commission must evaluate the entire industry and include all of the participating producers. § 1677(4)(A) (emphasis added). This Court has also previously found that the Commission must “assess whether the industry ‘as a whole’ has been injured by the subject imports.” Cleo Inc. v. United States, Slip Op. 06-131, 2006 WL 2685080, at *16 (Aug. 31, 2006).

With regard to the likely impact of subject imports, the Commission must consider all relevant economic factors that will affect the condition of the domestic industry. § 1675a(a)(4). This analysis does not occur in a vacuum, but rather, “within the context of the business cycle and the conditions of competition that are distinctive to the affected industry.” Id. A clear picture of market conditions and trends is possible only if the Commission considers all of the relevant economic data from the period of review. The fact that domestic producers were forced to exit the market is itself a condition of competition and an indicator of overall market conditions. As a result, “[a]ny vulnerability (or injury) analysis that excludes producers that exited the industry during the period will necessarily be inaccurate because it ignores those producers that have been most quickly affected by competitive conditions.” Def.-Int. Comments 17. Furthermore, exclusion of this data would mask the industry’s shrinkage and obscure declining market share, capacity utilization, and United States shipments. See Remand Determination at 19. The Commission must therefore evaluate the industry as a whole and include such data from the participating producers that it finds relevant to its analysis and will act as substantial evidence for its conclusions.

Plaintiffs also claim that because the Commission unreasonably relied on witness testimony, substantial evidence does not support a finding that “the domestic industry was no longer profitable by the second half of 2005.” Pis.’ Resp. Br. 19 (quotations omitted); see Remand Determination at 25. However, because “assessments of the credibility of witnesses are within the province of the trier of fact,” this Court “lacks authority to interfere with the Commission’s discretion as trier of fact to interpret reasonably evidence collected in the investigation.” Negev Phosphates, Ltd. v. Dep’t of Commerce, 12 CIT 1074, 1092, 699 F.Supp. 938, 953 (1988); see Nippon Steel Corp. v. United States, 458 F.3d 1345, 1358-59 (Fed.Cir.2006); NMB Singapore Ltd. v. United States, 27 CIT 1325, 1348-49, 288 F.Supp.2d 1306, 1326 (2003). In this case, the Commission cited the duly sworn and unimpeached testimony of three witnesses who testified to low profit margins in the second half of 2005. See Pis.’ Confidential Resp. Br. Attach. 16 at 128-129. The Commission, therefore, reasonably relied on the record evidence to support its finding. Thus, in light of the significant declines in market indicia, the court finds that substantial evidence supports the Commission’s finding that the domestic industry is vulnerable to the likely adverse impact of subject imports.

V. Conclusion

For the foregoing reasons, the court finds that the Commission reasonably relied on the record evidence and that its analysis is supported by substantial evidence. Accordingly, the Remand Determination is AFFIRMED. 
      
      . According to the Commission, solid urea is “a high-nitrogen-content fertilizer that is produced by reacting ammonia with carbon dioxide” and is sold in both prilled and granular form. Solid Urea From Russia and Ukraine, Inv. Nos. 731-TA-340 E & H (Second Review), Pub. 3821 (Dec.2005), Confidential R. (''CR”) 139 at 5.
     
      
      . Commerce ultimately revoked the AD order on solid urea from the former GDR in April 1998 because the petitioners in the original investigation expressed no further interest in the order. See Solid Urea From the Former German Democratic Republic: Final Results (Revocation of Order) of Changed Circumstances Antidumping Duty Review, 63 Fed. Reg. 16,471 (Dep't Commerce Apr. 3, 1998).
     
      
      . A tie vote of the Commission, is statutorily defined as an affirmative determination by the Commission. See 19 U.S.C. § 1677(11).
     
      
      . Although Ukraine exported [¶] ]] metric tons of urea into China in 2001 and 2002, export levels once again fell to [¶] ]] in 2003 and 2004. CR 113 Ex. 2 at 22. Russia fared similarly, with a peak of [¶] ]] metric tons in 2002. Id. at 9.
     
      
      . Record evidence shows even greater increases in exports of Ukranian urea to [¶] ]] between 2001 and 2004. CR 113 Ex. 2 at 21-22.
     
      
      . To determine whether imports compete with each other and with the domestic like product, the Commission considers four fac-lors: (1) degree of fungibility, (2) presence of sales or offers to sell in the same geographic markets, (3) existence of common or similar channels of distribution, and (4) whether there is a simultaneous presence in the market. See CR 139 at 8 n. 45. The Commission need not find completely overlapping markets for imports to compete with each other and the domestic product as only a "reasonable overlap” of competition is required to cumu-late imports. Id. at 8 & n. 46 (citing Mukand Ltd. v. United States, 20 CIT 903, 909, 937 F.Supp. 910, 916 (1996)).
     
      
      . The reviews met the same-day requirement, as they 7 were all initiated on October 1, 2004. CR 139 at 8.
     
      
      . The record indicates that between 1999 and 2004, the Russian industry’s capacity utilization increased from [¶] ]] and shipments to all markets increased by [¶] ]]. Pis.’ Resp. Br. 6-7; CR 134 at IV-9. The record also indicates that capacity utilization in Ukraine increased from [¶] ]], and total shipments increased by [¶] ]] during the same period. CR 134 at IV-14.
     
      
      . In its second sunset determination the Commission noted that “only a relatively small portion of domestic shipments are insulated from import competition.” CR 139 at 21 n. 172. That subject imports may undersell and displace non-subject imports does not pre-elude displacement of domestic urea, given the likelihood that importers like [¶] ]], which already market non-subject imports in the United States, will import and sell subject imports. See id.
      
     
      
      . In 2004, subject producers in Russia and Ukraine exported [¶] ]] metric tons of urea, but shipped only [¶] ]] metric tons to Asia and [¶] ]] metric tons to Oceania, i.e., less than [¶] ]] percent of their total exports. CR 113 Ex. 2 at 9-10, 22.
     
      
      . Although a "[[ ]],” f.o.b. prices at Baltic Sea ports were even lower than those at Yu-zhnyy in 2005. CR 113 Ex. 2 at 10 & Ex. 7.
     
      
      . Russian and Ukranian urea compete against [¶] ]]. See CR 132 Attach. 1 at 77-88. During 2004, the last year in the period of review, non-subject and subject urea imports differed by [¶] ]] per metric ton in Brazil (f.o.b.), [¶] ]] per metric ton in Colombia (c.i.f.), and [¶] ]] per metric ton in Canada (f.o.b). CR 113 Ex. 27; see Remand Determination at 15.
     
      
      . “[Average unit values] are computed by multiplying, for each product, the price of the product times the quantity sold, summing these results, and then dividing the total by the total number of products sold.” U.S. Steel Group v. United States, 96 F.3d 1352, 1364 (Fed.Cir.1996).
     
      
      .Recognizing that "the Commission must assimilate and interpret large quantities of data” in making its determinations, the Federal Circuit has declined to "hold, as a general rule, that the Commission may not rely on [average unit value] trends as indicative of corresponding changes in price.” U.S. Steel Group, 96 F.3d at 1364.
     
      
      . The Commission solicited information from [¶] ]] firms, and used data from the [¶] ]] questionnaire responses it received to compile Table 1-7. See CR 134 at 1-41. The [¶] ]] firms that responded account for [¶] ]] percent of total United States imports and include five domestic producers — [¶] ]]. Id..; see CR 134 at 140, Table 1-6.
     
      
      . Even if the Commission were to find instead that domestic producers' imports accounted for only [¶] ]] percent of total imports in 2004, it would nonetheless be reasonable for the Commission to find that "a large and significant share” of non-subject imports were imported into the United States given that said imports would constitute over [¶] ]] of total imports. See CR 134 at 1-40, Table I-6 & App. C Table C-2.
     
      
      . The same report specifically refers to FSU urea by using phrases such as “FSU prices,” "[[ ]],” and “FSU material.” Pis.’ Confidential Resp. Br. Attach. 13.
     
      
      . Crucially, other evidence in the record indicates that the f.o.b. price of FSU urea during the third quarter of 2005 was between [¶] 11 per ton. CR 132 Attach. 1 at 104.
     
      
      .The record showed that the industry's operating income margins improved to profits of [¶] ]] percent and [¶] ]] percent in 2003 and 2004, productivity rates increased from [¶] ]] short tons in 1999 to [¶] ]] short tons in 2004, and average unit prices and net sales revenues improved considerably over the period of review. Remand Determination at 18-19; see CR 134 at I-6-I-7, Table 1-1.
     
      
      . The record evidence shows that the domestic industry has become smaller over the course of the past two decades. See Remand Determination at 23. During the original investigations, twenty four firms operated in the domestic urea industry, with the number falling to twelve at the end of the first reviews, and seven in 2005. See id.; CR 139 at 17.
     
      
      . Even if the Commission were to exclude the two inefficient firms from the data set, there would be no significant effect on the ratio of operating income/loss to net sales. Compare Pis.’ Resp. Br. Attach. 17 (showing [¶] 11 percent in 2003 and [¶] ]] percent in 2004) with CR 134 at 1-7, Table 1-1 (showing [¶] 11 percent in 2003 and [¶] ]] percent in 2004).
     